Breaking survivorship bias in driving world models

Published
Source
arXiv
Paper number
1448
Field
Computer Vision
arXiv ID
2611.11516

Key points

  • At only 0.5 s before collision, Vista and GEM imagined the collision in 9% and 12% of the scenes, respectively, whereas the NWM reached 86%.
  • On routine MM-AU clips, the NWM imagined a collision in only 8% of the futures, showing it did not simply associate accident-footage appearance with collisions.
  • On 200 challenging NAVSIM scenes, NWM-guided selection achieved a PDMS of 0.783 against 0.637 for Vista-guided selection, approaching the oracle 0.959.
  • In real-vehicle pedestrian-dummy trials, the NWM chose braking correctly at all decision frames in the Response stage while Vista’s accuracy fell to 30%.
  • The dominant failure modes of both baselines were rewriting the future to avoid the collision, such as making the agent vanish or freezing the scene.

Paper links

External research summaries. These are not HDATF publications or measured product results.

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